Shares of Robert Half sank 6.3% to $35.47 in early trading after the staffing firm's second-quarter report confirmed what the market feared: the downturn in white-collar hiring still has no clear end date. The company posted Q2 net income of $26 million, or $0.26 per share, on revenue of $1.336 billion, compared with $41 million, or $0.41 per share, on $1.370 billion a year earlier — a 37% earnings drop that landed right at Wall Street's muted consensus.
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A Profit Decline That Met Low Expectations — and Still Stung. Revenue of $1.336 billion barely edged past the consensus estimate of $1.336 billion , yet the two-year annualized EPS decline of 38.3% shows sustained underperformance . The sharp sell-off suggests the recent rally was built on hopes for a stronger surprise; with no upside catalyst, the market corrected those expectations . In short, investors wanted proof the bottom was in, and instead got par.
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Protiviti Is the Deepening Problem. Revenue at consulting arm Protiviti fell amid changes in the U.S. financial services regulatory environment, and the company took severance charges tied to roughly $45 million in annualized cost savings . Risk and compliance work — the hardest-hit area — accounts for "a little under 20%" of Protiviti's total revenue , and management cited "a marked decline in new enforcement actions" as the driver. This isn't a cyclical dip — it's a policy-driven revenue hole that management cannot control.
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One Bright Spot: Permanent Hiring Is Growing — Slowly. Permanent placement posted 2.5% adjusted year-over-year revenue growth, and talent solutions notched its third consecutive quarter of sequential improvement . That signals some hiring activity is thawing, but permanent placement contributed only $118 million of the $1.336 billion total — too small to offset the drag elsewhere.
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Q3 Guidance Says "Flat," Not "Recovery." Robert Half guided for Q3 revenue of $1.31–$1.41 billion and EPS of $0.43–$0.53, with the midpoint implying roughly flat adjusted revenue year over year . The $7 million in Q2 severance costs reduced earnings by $0.04 per share, but those actions should yield $45 million in annualized savings fully reflected in Q3 . Investors, though, seem skeptical that cost cuts alone can reignite growth. The dividend payout ratio has ballooned to 182% of earnings , raising questions about sustainability if profits don't recover soon. The average analyst price target among 18 firms sits at just $30.27 — implying further downside from today's already battered price .